Bitcoin Bull Run Incoming as BTC CAGR Hits 31%

The post Bitcoin Bull Run Incoming as BTC CAGR Hits 31% appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Bitcoin’s strong performance in April and May has reignited hopes for a major bullish breakout. From April 9 to May 22, the Bitcoin price surged by 46.32%, including an 18.48% rally between May 5 and 22. The price recovery has also pushed its Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) higher, signaling renewed market optimism. BTC CAGR Spikes as Price Recovers Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr recently highlighted a notable spike in Bitcoin’s 4-year CAGR. In April 2025, it had dropped to just 7% , reflecting Bitcoin’s volatile start to the year. In January, BTC grew by 9.54%, but the following months saw sharp declines—down 17.5% in February and 2.19% in March. The price even touched a low of $74,446.79 in April. However, the market rebounded strongly. By June 2025, Adler reports that Bitcoin’s CAGR climbed back to 31%. “This sharp rebound shows how quickly the long-term trend can shift when strong buyer momentum enters the market,” Adler stated. Yet, he notes that 31% CAGR is still below historical bull market peaks, implying more room for growth. $168K BTC by October? Axel Adler Jr forecasts a possible Bitcoin price target of $168,000 by October 2025 , assuming momentum in the futures market and leverage continues. He bases this projection on accelerating growth and historical patterns observed during prior bull runs. Source: Axel Adler Jr’s post .article-inside-link { margin-left: 0 !important; border: 1px solid #0052CC4D; border-left: 0; border-right: 0; padding: 10px 0; text-align: left; } .entry ul.article-inside-link li { font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; font-weight: 600; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 0; display: inline-block; } .entry ul.article-inside-link li:last-child { display: none; } Also Read : Imitating Saylor Is Dangerous! Novogratz Warns Against Strategy “Copycats” , Adjusting for Risk: CAGR vs. Standard Deviation In the discussion thread, X user Manu suggested a more refined way to interpret CAGR—by dividing it by the standard deviation to eliminate volatility and highlight risk-adjusted returns. Adler agreed with the approach, stating it offers a cleaner view of market performance, but also emphasized another critical point: “The real inflection point comes when investors start taking profits based on expected returns.” According to him, the risk of a bear market grows once BTC trading volume crosses 1 million coins, as large-scale profit-taking can disrupt supply-demand balance. .article_register_shortcode { padding: 18px 24px; border-radius: 8px; display: flex; align-items: center; margin: 6px 0 22px; border: 1px solid #0052CC4D; background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.1) 0%, rgba(0, 82, 204, 0.1) 100%); } .article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 { color: #000000; font-weight: 600; font-size: 20px; line-height: 22px; text-align:left; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 span { color: #0052CC; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body p { font-weight: 400; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; color: #171717B2; margin-top: 4px; text-align:left; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body{ padding-right: 14px; } .article_register_shortcode .media-button a { float: right; } .article_register_shortcode .primary-button img{ vertical-align: middle; width: 20px; margin: 0; display: inline-block; } @media (min-width: 581px) and (max-width: 991px) { .article_register_shortcode .media-body p { margin-bottom: 0; } } @media (max-width: 580px) { .article_register_shortcode { display: block; padding: 20px; } .article_register_shortcode img { max-width: 50px; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body h5 { font-size: 16px; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body { margin-left: 0px; } .article_register_shortcode .media-body p { font-size: 13px; line-height: 20px; margin-top: 6px; margin-bottom: 14px; } .article_register_shortcode .media-button a { float: unset; } .article_register_shortcode .secondary-button { margin-bottom: 0; } } Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World! Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more. .subscription-options li { display: none; } .research-report-subscribe{ background-color: #0052CC; padding: 12px 20px; border-radius: 8px; color: #fff; font-weight: 500; font-size: 14px; width: 96%; } .research-report-subscribe img{ vertical-align: sub; margin-right: 2px; } Subscribe to News var templateIds = “6”; var listOfSubscribed = []; function subscribed_popupmodal(template_id) { var templateId = ‘6’; getAllSubscriberCategoryList([templateId]); var subcribemodal = window.parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe-modal-design’); if (subcribemodal) { var modalContent = ` Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World! Stay informed and gain the edge you need to navigate the crypto world. Select your subscription now Daily Get real-time crypto news, market insights, and blockchain updates. Weekly Stay updated with major trends, funding news, and price analysis. Monthly Receive a detailed report with market analysis and expert predictions. Subscribe Now `; subcribemodal.innerHTML = modalContent; } subscribe_unsubscribe_status(template_id); //getAllSubscriberCategoryList(template_id); } function toggleSubscription(subscription, template_id) { var subscriptionCheckbox = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘_’ + template_id); var li = document.getElementById(subscription + ‘Selected_’ + template_id); if (subscriptionCheckbox.checked) { li.classList.add(‘active’); } else { li.classList.remove(‘active’); } } function getAllSubscriberCategoryList(getcategoryId) { jQuery.ajax({ url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’, type: ‘GET’, data: { action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’, apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list’, }, success: function(response) { var result = JSON.parse(response.message); if (result.status === true) { var idstosubscribed = [] // Populate listOfSubscribed with subscribed category IDs result.message.forEach(listofcategory => { if (listofcategory.subscribe_status === 1) { if (!listOfSubscribed.includes(listofcategory._id)) { listOfSubscribed.push(listofcategory._id); } if (!idstosubscribed.includes(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id)) { idstosubscribed.push(listofcategory.news_cp_category_row_id); } } }); idstosubscribed.forEach(id => { var subscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + id); var unsubscribeButton = document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + id); if (subscribeButton && unsubscribeButton) { subscribeButton.style.display = ‘none’; unsubscribeButton.style.display = ‘block’; var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’); if (showDownloadReport) { showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’; } } }); } }, error: function(xhr, status, error) { console.error(‘Error:’, error); } }); } function subscribe_unsubscribe_status(getcategoryId) { var elementTounsubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + getcategoryId); var elementTosubscribe = parent.document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + getcategoryId); jQuery.ajax({ url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’, type: ‘POST’, data: { action: ‘subscribe_api_ajax_request’, apiurl: ‘/app/email_newsletter/list?category_row_id=’ + getcategoryId, }, success: function(response) { var result = JSON.parse(response.message); if (result.status === true) { parent.jQuery(‘.skeliton-loader-block’).hide(); var hasSubscribeStatusOne = false; result.message.forEach(subscribeStatus => { if (listOfSubscribed.includes(subscribeStatus._id) && subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) { hasSubscribeStatusOne = true; } if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 3) { parent.document.getElementById(‘monthlySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’; parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id); if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) { parent.document.getElementById(‘monthly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true; } } else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 2) { parent.document.getElementById(‘weeklySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’; parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id); if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) { parent.document.getElementById(‘weekly_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true; } } else if (subscribeStatus.notification_type === 1) { parent.document.getElementById(‘dailySelected_’ + getcategoryId).style.display = ‘block’; parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).setAttribute(‘data-id’, subscribeStatus._id); if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) { parent.document.getElementById(‘daily_’ + getcategoryId).checked = true; } } if (subscribeStatus.subscribe_status === 1) { listOfSubscribed.push(subscribeStatus._id); } }); if (hasSubscribeStatusOne) { elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘none’; elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘block’; } else { elementTosubscribe.style.display = ‘block’; elementTounsubscribe.style.display = ‘none’; } } }, error: function(xhr, status, error) { console.error(‘Error:’, error); } }); } function logSelectedSubscriptions(categoryid) { var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’); var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’); unsubscribemodal.innerHTML=”; subscribedmodal.innerHTML=”; var selectedSubscriptions = []; var storeCheckedId = []; var checkboxes = document.querySelectorAll(‘#subscription-options-‘ + categoryid + ‘ input[type=”checkbox”]’); var errorMessage = document.getElementById(‘error-message-select’); // Use a Set to handle unique data-ids var uniqueSubscribedIds = new Set(listOfSubscribed); checkboxes.forEach(function(checkbox) { var dataId = parseInt(checkbox.getAttribute(‘data-id’)); if (checkbox.checked) { selectedSubscriptions.push(checkbox.id); storeCheckedId.push(dataId); } else { uniqueSubscribedIds.delete(dataId); // Remove unchecked data-id } }); // Update listOfSubscribed with unique values listOfSubscribed = Array.from(uniqueSubscribedIds); var selectedSubscriptionsString = selectedSubscriptions.join(‘, ‘); var concatinateSubscribeId = […new Set(storeCheckedId.concat(listOfSubscribed))]; var categoryData = { ‘subscribed_categories’: concatinateSubscribeId }; var requestSubscriberData = { action: ‘handle_dynamic_api_request_with_headers’, security: ‘a8e7dc4616’, endpoint: ‘/app/email_newsletter/update_categories’, token: ”, data: categoryData }; jQuery.ajax({ url: ‘https://coinpedia.org/wp-admin/admin-ajax.php’, type: ‘POST’, data: requestSubscriberData, beforeSend: function(xhr) { xhr.setRequestHeader(‘X-Requested-With’, ‘XMLHttpRequest’); }, success: function(response) { try { response = response.data; if (storeCheckedId.length === 0) { var unsubcribedPopUpmodal = ` You’ve Unsubscribed Successfully We’re sorry to see you go! Your subscription has been canceled. If you change your mind, you can re-subscribe anytime. Thank you for being part of our community! `; unsubscribemodal.innerHTML = unsubcribedPopUpmodal; document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’; unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘block’; unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘hide’); unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘show’); document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’; document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’; var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’); if (showDownloadReport) { showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘none’; } } else { var subscribedPopupModal = ` Thank you for subscribing! Thank you for subscribing to our crypto and blockchain newsletter! You’ll now receive the latest news, insights, and updates straight to your inbox. Welcome to our community! `; let selectedSubscriptionsArray = selectedSubscriptionsString.split(‘,’); let subscribedCategories = selectedSubscriptionsArray.map(subscription => subscription.split(‘_’)[0]); let subscribedCategoriesString = subscribedCategories.join(‘, ‘); subscribedmodal.innerHTML = subscribedPopupModal; if (document.getElementById(‘selectidname’)) { document.getElementById(‘selectidname’).textContent = subscribedCategoriesString; } document.querySelector(‘#subscribe-modal-design .modal’).style.display = ‘none’; subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘block’; subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘hide’); subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘show’); document.getElementById(‘subscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘none’; document.getElementById(‘unsubscribe_’ + categoryid).style.display = ‘block’; var showDownloadReport = document.getElementById(‘download_report’); if (showDownloadReport) { showDownloadReport.style.display = ‘block’; } } } catch (e) { console.error(‘Error parsing response:’, e); } }, }); } function closeModal(template_id) { var modalId = template_id; var modal = document.querySelector(‘#’ + modalId); // Using querySelector to find the modal if (modal) { modal.classList.add(‘hide’); modal.classList.remove(‘show’); setTimeout(function() { modal.style.display = ‘none’; }, 500); } else { console.warn(‘Modal not found:’, modalId); } } function closeunsubscribemodal() { var unsubscribemodal = document.querySelector(‘.unsubscribed-popup-modal .modal’); if (unsubscribemodal) { unsubscribemodal.classList.add(‘hide’); unsubscribemodal.classList.remove(‘show’); } setTimeout(function() { unsubscribemodal.style.display = ‘none’; }, 500); } function closesubscribemodal() { var subscribedmodal = document.querySelector(‘.subscribed-popup-modal .modal’); setTimeout(function() { subscribedmodal.style.display = ‘none’; }, 500); if (subscribedmodal) { subscribedmodal.classList.add(‘hide’); subscribedmodal.classList.remove(‘show’); } } function withoutLoginClicked(withoutlogin_id) { localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’, ‘true’); localStorage.setItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’, withoutlogin_id); } document.addEventListener(‘DOMContentLoaded’, function() { const subscribewithoutData = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’); const subscribe_clicked_cat_id = localStorage.getItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’); // Function to get cookies function getCookie(name) { let value = “; ” + document.cookie; let parts = value.split(“; ” + name + “=”); if (parts.length == 2) return parts.pop().split(“;”).shift(); } // Get user token from cookies const userToken = getCookie(‘user_token’); if (subscribewithoutData === ‘true’ && userToken) { // Call the modal function with the category ID subscribed_popupmodal(subscribe_clicked_cat_id); // Remove the flag and category ID from localStorage localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_without_Login’); localStorage.removeItem(‘subscribe_clicked_id’); } }); /************************** update susbcriber content **************************** */ function initializeSubscriptionButton() { var initialListItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options input[type=”checkbox”]’); initialListItems.forEach(function(item) { console.log(item.checked, ‘Initial Checkbox checked status’); }); var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’); if (listItems.length === 0) return; var anyActive = false; listItems.forEach(function(item) { var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’); if (checkbox) { if (checkbox.checked) { item.classList.add(‘active’); anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true } else { item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked } } }); } function updateButtonText(anyActive) { var subscribeButtonSpan = document.querySelector(‘.subscribe-submit .changeBtnText’); if (subscribeButtonSpan) { if (anyActive) { subscribeButtonSpan.textContent = ‘Subscribe Now’; } else { subscribeButtonSpan.textContent = ‘Unsubscribe’; } } } function updateSubscriptionButton() { var listItems = document.querySelectorAll(‘.subscription-options li’); if (listItems.length === 0) return; var anyActive = false; listItems.forEach(function(item) { var checkbox = item.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’); if (checkbox) { if (checkbox.checked) { item.classList.add(‘active’); anyActive = true; // Set anyActive to true } else { item.classList.remove(‘active’); // Remove ‘active’ class if checkbox is unchecked } } }); // Update the button text based on whether any list item has the ‘active’ class updateButtonText(anyActive); } document.addEventListener(‘click’, function(event) { var clickedItem = event.target.closest(‘.subscription-options li’); if (clickedItem) { var checkbox = clickedItem.querySelector(‘input[type=”checkbox”]’); if (checkbox) { checkbox.checked = !checkbox.checked; updateSubscriptionButton(); } } });

Source: coinpedia