May 12, 2025

Based on Athey and Mitchnick Model, XRP Fair Market Value Stands at $4,813

3 min read

A groundbreaking valuation model introduced by Susan Athey and Robert Mitchnick presents a compelling case for XRP, suggesting a potential fair market value that reaches a remarkable five-figure sum. Despite its current trading price of $2.42, XRP has faced consistent underperformance across several market cycles. Many attribute this lackluster performance to price suppression, particularly linked to the ongoing Ripple lawsuit. Numerous valuation models have emerged, aiming to establish XRP’s true worth under scenarios where market suppressions did not exist. One of the earliest and most notable models is the Athey-Mitchnick model, introduced in 2018. This model combines XRP’s dual functionality: as a transactional asset and a store of value, to project its fair market value. How the Athey-Mitchnick Model Estimates $4,813 The Athey-Mitchnick model’s valuation is primarily driven by two key factors: the adoption of XRP for cross-border payments and its appeal as a store of value. The model envisions that by 2030, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) will facilitate approximately 10% of global transactions, significantly boosting XRP’s utility and demand. Source: https://heyzine.com/flip-book/valuationpaperB.html It is estimated that 10% of global assets will transition to XRP, further amplifying its value. This increase in utility highlights XRP’s efficiency in fast, borderless payments and underscores its role as a reserve asset, inherently decreasing the circulating supply for everyday transactions. The Virtuous Cycle of Adoption and Value A unique aspect of the model is its emphasis on the virtuous cycle of XRP’s adoption. As more users opt to hold XRP for its long-term potential, the available supply for transactions decreases. This dynamic fosters a self-reinforcing loop where increased demand drives prices upward, prompting more users to retain their XRP holdings. Assumptions and Conservative Estimates The model incorporates several assumptions to calculate the projected value of $4,813. It posits a daily transaction volume of $700 billion and anticipates a demand for XRP as a stored asset reaching $53 trillion by 2030. Factoring in a circulating supply of 56 billion tokens and applying a 10% discount rate to account for future value adjustments, the model arrives at its forecast. We are on twitter, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) July 15, 2023 Interestingly, the model deliberately excludes some potential markets, such as real estate and derivatives, positioning its projections as somewhat conservative. The exclusion of these markets implies that the fair market value could be significantly higher. Potential Limitations and Forward-Looking Challenges While the model presents an optimistic outlook, it does not consider potential supply disruptions, the impact of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) , or new use cases that may emerge beyond 2030. These factors may impact the valuation accuracy. Nevertheless, the model remains a significant reference point in ongoing discussions about XRP’s fair value, especially in light of regulatory challenges such as the SEC lawsuit. By addressing XRP’s dual role and projected adoption rate, the Athey-Mitchnick model fuels continued debate and analysis within the crypto community, highlighting the asset’s potential beyond its current market perception. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Based on Athey and Mitchnick Model, XRP Fair Market Value Stands at $4,813 appeared first on Times Tabloid .

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